Monday 14 October 2002
2:00 – 6:00pm
Registration
6:00pm
Dinner
Important Note: Each time slot in the following includes both presentation (20minutes) and discussion (5-10minutes). Chairpersons and presenters are kindly requested to strictly follow this timeline.
Tuesday 15 October 2002
Plenary Session
Chairperson: Li Hua
9:00 – 10:00am Opening Adresses
Co-Chairman: Academician Hu Side, CAEP, China
Co-Chairman: Prof. Carlo Schaerf, President, ISODARCO, Italy
Co-Chairman: Prof. Wang Zaibang, China Institute of Contemporary International Relations
10:00 – 10:30am
Nuclear Weapons and Strategic Stability
Michael M. May, Stanford University, USA
10:30 – 10:50am Teabreak
Chairperson: Paolo Cotta-Ramusino
10:50 – 11:20am
Nuclear Terrorism
Francesco Calogero, University of Rome, Italy
11:20-11:50am
The Impact of Moscow Treaty on the Future Situation of International Nuclear Disarmament
Tian Dongfeng, Program for Science and National Security Studies, IAPCM, PRC
11:50 – 12:15am
Taking Group Photo
Parallel Sessions
Session A: Nuclear Disarmament and Ballistic Missile Defense
Chairperson: Giancarlo Tenaglia
2:00 – 2:25pm
The Future of Nuclear Disarmament in India and Pakistan
Marika Vicziany, Monash University, Australia
2:25 – 2:50pm
China’s Nuclear Arsenal and Missile Defence-Strategic Analysis Jan-Mar 2002
Rappai Maliakal, Institute of Chinese Studies, India
2:50 – 3:15pm
The Latest Development of the U.S. Missile Defense Program and its Influence on the World Security
He Yan, Beijing Institute of System Engineering, PRC
3:15 – 3:40pm
Nuclear Disarmament and Establishing the Framework of Strategic Stability Among Major Powers in the New Century
Xia Liping, Shanghai Institute for International Studies, PRC
3:40 – 4:05pm
Action Despite GW Bush: Pursuing Nuclear Disarmament in the Face of Sovereign Unilateralism
Bruce D. Larkin, University of California at Santa Cruz, USA
4:05 – 4:25pm Teabreak
Chairperson: Nishat Ahmed
4:25 – 4:50pm
The NMD Driven-arms Race and Its Impact on Asia-Pacific Security
You Ji, School of Politics and International Relations, University of New South Wales
4:50 – 5:15pm
A tentative Analysis of SORT
Chen Rong, China Institute of International Strategic Studies, PRC
5:15 – 5:40pm
The Influence of Information Revolution to the Nuclear Deterrence
Wang Xin, Institute of Electronic Engineering, PRC
China’s Strategic Nuclear Posture by 2010: Minimum or Limited Deterrence? – Likely Impact of U.S. Missile Defense
Zhen Huang, Department of Political Science & Public Policy University of Waikato
Arms Control and Disarmament within the New Strategic Framework
Zhai Yucheng, China Defense Science and Technology Information Center, PRC
6:00 – 7:30pm Reception by the Organizing Committee
Parallel Sessions
Session B: Non-proliferation, Counter Terrorism and Other Security Issues
Chairperson: Kathleen Walsh
2:00 – 2:25pm
Bio and Nuclear Terrorism: Risk Analysis after September 11, 2001
Annette Schaper, Peace Research Institute Frankfurt Germany
2:25 – 2:50pm
Scoping the Threat from Chemical and Biological Terrorism
Peter Blain, Newcastle University, UK
2:50 – 3:15pm
Technical Opportunities for Counter-Terrorism Cooperation
John N. Olsen, Cooperative Monitoring Center, Sandia National Laboratory, Albuquerque, NM, USA
3:15 – 3:40pm
The Current Combat and Prospects on Counter International Terrorism
Li Wei, China Institute of Contemporary International Relations, PRC
3:40 – 4:05pm
Comments on the Chinese Missile Export Control Law
Li Bin, Institute of International Studies, Tsinghua University, PRC
4:05 – 4:25pm Teabreak
Chairperson: Gregory Kulacki
4:25-4:50pm
Information as Response to Terrorism: a Role for Universities and Research Organizations
Lester Paldy, State University of New York at Stony Brook, USA
4:50 – 5:15pm
Prevention of Weaponization in Outer Space-an Urgent Task
Yu Xiaoling, China Defense Science and Technology Information Center, PRC
5:15 – 5:40pm
Advanced Methods of Cooperative Security in Outer Space
Jeffrey Lewis, CISSM, School of Public Affairs University of Maryland, USA
Wednesday 16 October 2002
Plenary Session
Chairperson: Lester Paldy
9:00 – 9:30am
Preventing the Weaponization of Space
Michael Krepon, Henry L. Stimson Center, USA
9:30 – 10:00am
Strategic Relation among the Nuclear States
Gu Guoliang, Institute of American Studies, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, PRC
10:00 – 10:20am
Teabreak
Chairperson: Kunihiko Uematsu
10:20 – 10:50am
Threat Reduction Techniques in the Counterterrorism
Rose Gottemoeller, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, USA
10:50 – 11:20am
Can NMD Still be Stopped?
Gert Guenter Harigel, European Lab for Particle Physics, CERN, Geneva, Switzerland
11:20 – 11:50am
Creating the Conditions to Negotiate a Multilateral Space Sanctuary
Rebecca Johnson, The Acronym Institute for Disarmament Diplomacy, UK
(Session A)
Chairperson: Rebecca Johnson
2:00 – 2:25pm
The Role of Nuclear Weapons after the Cold War
Chen Huaifan, Chinese People’s Association for Peace and Disarmament, PRC
2:25 – 2:50pm
Influencing of “US-Russia Treaty on Slashing Strategic Nuclear Arsenals” on the Situation of International Nuclear Arsenals Control and Countermeasure Research
Wu Tianfu, Strategic Teaching and Research Section, The Second Artillery Command College, PRC
2:50 – 3:15pm
Research of the Video Information Barrier in the Dismantlement Verification.
Yi Xiandong, Institute of Electronic Engineering, PRC
3:15 – 3:40pm
Nondestructive Analysis of Uranium Isotopic Composition in the Wastebin
Wei Mengfu, China Academy of Engineering Physics, PRC
3:40 – 4:05pm
Disposition of Russian Excess Weapon Pu (Japanese Program)
Kunihiko Uematsu, Japan Atomic Industrial Forum, Inc
4:05-4:30pm
Lowering Nuclear Threshold – a Dangerous Signal to the World
Jin Peng, Northwest Institute of Nuclear Technology, PRC
The History and Future of Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban
Kuang Feihong, Northwest Institute of Nuclear Technology, PRC
4:40pm
Sharp, Evening Excursion with Traditional Cultural Taste
(Session B)
Chairperson: Shen Dingli
2:00 – 2:25pm
Responding to American Unilateralism
Gregory Kulacki, Union of Concerned Scientists, USA
2:25 – 2:50pm
Physical Protection System and Vulnerability Analysis Program in China
Tang Dan, Institute of Electronic Engineering, PRC
2:50 – 3:15pm
Challenges to the International Non-Proliferation Regime
Hou Hongyu, Chinese People’s Association for Peace and Disarmament, PRC
3:15 – 3:40pm
Challenges to US-China Cooperation on Arms Control and Nonproliferation
Evan Medeiros, RAND Coorporation
3:40 – 4:05pm
Multilateral Export Controls: New Ideas on Enhancing Security and Trade
Kathleen Walsh, Henry L. Stimson Center, USA
4:05 – 4:30pm
Nuclear Nonproliferation and CTBT
Duan Zhanyuan, China Astronautics Institute, PRC
4:40pm
Sharp, Evening Excursion with Traditional Cultural Taste
Thursday 17 October 2002
Plenary Session
Chairperson: Bruce D. Larkin
9:00 – 9:30am
Reducing Stockpile and Use of Highly-Enriched Uranium
Frank von Hippel, Program on Science and Global Security, Princeton University, USA
9:30 – 10:00am
Steps towards Elimination of Nuclear Weapons
Carin Atterling Wedar, University of Lector, Sweden
10:00 – 10:20am
Teabreak
Chairperson: Robert Norris
10:20 – 10:50am
The Impact on the Deployment of the NMD by Bush Administration on International Stability
Tan Han, Chinese Arms Control and Disarmament Association, PRC
10:50 – 11:20am
Nuclear Weapons and Strategic Stability
Sridhar K Chari, National Institute of Advanced Studies, India
11:20 – 11:50am
Countering Terrorism: the Revolution of Technology
Houston Hawkins, Los Alamos National Laboratory, USA
(Session A)
Chairperson: Stephen Schwartz
2:00 – 2:25pm
Time and Defense: The History of Defense Systems and Remarks on the National Missile Defense (NMD)
Gert Guenter Harigel, European Lab for Particle Physics, CERN, Geneva, Switzerland
2:25-2:50pm
The Influence of the BMD System on the World Security
Wu Changli, China Astronautics Institute, PRC
2:50 – 3:15pm
A Preliminary Analysis on Temperature Discrimination Capability of US NMD System EKV IR Sensor
Chen Qianghong, Institute of Structural Mechanics, PRC
3:15 – 3:40pm
Layered Missile Defense System and Space Security
Fu Hanqing, Institute of Applied Physics and Computational Mathematics, PRC
3:40 – 4:05pm
Missile Defense in East Asia Inspection and Potential Risk
Masako Ikegami-Anderson, Center for Pacific Asia Studies, Stockholm University
4:30pm
Sharp, Leaving for Honored Banquet with the Vice Chairman of the Standing Committee of Chinese National People’s Congress
(Session B)
Chairperson: John Olsen
2:00-2:25pm
Joseph Pilat – Los Alamos National Laboratory, USA
Nuclear Forces, Arms Control, Nonproliferation and Counterterrorism: Technical and Policy Dimensions
2:25-2:50pm
Li Daozhong – China Institute of International Strategic Studies, PRC
The Common Grounds and Differences between China and USA on WMD Nonproliferation
2:50-3:15pm
Shen Dingli – Center for American Studies, Fudan University, PRC
WMD Terrorism and Nonproliferation
3:15-3:40pm
Jungmin Kang – Associate (independent contractor) of Nautilus Institute, Republic of Korea
Speeding up the Implementation of the 1994 US-DPRK Agreed Framework
3:40-4:05pm
George Lindsey – Canadian Institute of Strategic Studies, Canada
Proliferation, Defense, and Deterrence
4:30pm
Sharp, Leaving for Honored Banquet with the Vice Chairman of the Standing Committee of Chinese National People’s Congress
Friday 18 October 2002
Plenary Session
Chairperson: Peter Blain
9:00-10:00am
Liu Jieyi – Director-General, The Department of Arms Control and Disarmament, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, PRC
Invited Speech
10:00-10:20am
Teabreak
Panel Discussion
Chairperson: Li Hua
10:20-12:20am
Iraq Issues: Solutions & Consequences — War? Peace? or …?
(Session A+ B + Plenary Session)
Chairperson: Tian Dongfeng
2:00-2:25pm
Jing-dong Yuan – Monterey Institute of International Studies
US Missile Defenses and Strategic Stability in Asia
2:25-2:50pm
Stephen Schwartz – Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists/Educational Foundation for Nuclear Science, USA
Is Smaller Better (or Necessary)? The U. S. Drive to Develop and Deploy Low-Yield Nuclear Weapons
2:50-3:15pm
Li Wei – Institute of Nuclear Physics and Chemistry, PRC
The Noble Gas Detection Technique for the On-site Inspection of the CTBT
3:15-3:40pm
Gert Guenter Harigel – European Lab for Particle Physics, CERN, Geneva, Switzerland
Preventing Terrorists from Acquisition of WMDs
3:40-4:05pm
Liu Gongliang – Institute of Applied Physics and Computational Mathematics, PRC
Technical Challenge to Irreversible Deep Nuclear Disarmament
4:05-5:05pm
Closing Addresses by Co-Chairmen
